Lara

The You Yangs, the granite ranges just north of Lara

Greater Geelong · Melbourne–Geelong Corridor

Lara Property Investment

A strategic location between Melbourne and Geelong.

Photo: You Yangs panorama, Spring 2024 by BobTanGo, CC BY 4.0, cropped and converted to black and white.

Lara occupies an unusual position in the Victorian property market.

It is part of Greater Geelong, but sits directly on the Melbourne–Geelong transport corridor, around 18 kilometres north-east of Geelong’s CBD and about 55 kilometres from Melbourne’s CBD. That gives Lara access to two major employment economies while keeping the character of an established regional township.

19,014Residents (2021 Census)
24,256Forecast for 2026
29,509Forecast by 2046
$740kMedian house price (REIV)

Lara is surrounded by significant economic assets: Avalon Airport, the Geelong Ring Road Employment Precinct, GeelongPort, the Melbourne–Geelong rail line, the Princes Freeway and Geelong’s broader healthcare, education and manufacturing economy. It is also still growing, within defined settlement boundaries.

The question isn’t simply whether Lara will grow. It’s whether it has the fundamentals to support sustained housing demand, and which properties are best positioned to benefit.

Population

Why Lara Property Investment Is Worth Investigating

Lara has grown significantly over the past decade. The 2021 Census recorded 19,014 residents, up from around 16,400 in 2016.

Growth is expected to continue. Greater Geelong’s population forecast sees Lara reaching about 24,256 people in 2026 and 29,509 by 2046, well above older council projections of around 22,200 by 2036.

+10,469Extra residents, 2021–2046
~185New dwellings a year
11,459Dwellings forecast by 2046

That growth isn’t just an extrapolation of past numbers. The Greater Geelong Planning Scheme directs future development within the Lara settlement boundary, including sequenced residential growth west of O’Hallorans Road. There is an established planning framework for more housing.

Employment

Lara Is Not Just a Commuter Town

One reason we find Lara interesting is its relationship with the wider Geelong economy. It sits right beside the Geelong Ring Road Employment Precinct (GREP), one of Greater Geelong’s largest industrial and employment areas.

~500 haIndustrial-zoned land
10,000Potential jobs when fully developed
2026New industrial estate launched

In Parliament in 2023, Lara MP Ella George described the precinct as around 500 hectares of industrial land with capacity for 10,000 local jobs when fully developed. Investment is continuing: the Kinetic Lara industrial subdivision on Heales Road was launched in 2026, alongside existing occupiers such as Isuzu, Fulton Hogan and PFD Food Services.

The precinct benefits from the Princes Freeway, road and rail access, large industrial sites, and proximity to GeelongPort and Avalon Airport. That creates an important chain:

Lara housing→Local employment→Geelong economy→Melbourne–Geelong corridor

A residential location with nearby employment can have a stronger underlying demand base than one where almost everyone travels elsewhere for work. Lara’s market doesn’t depend solely on people commuting to Melbourne.

Avalon

Avalon Airport Adds Another Economic Dimension

Avalon Airport sits a short drive east of Lara, between Melbourne and Geelong. It brings passenger aviation, aviation-related jobs, freight and logistics, tourism and surrounding industrial development.

2,000+People working at the airport precinct
10,000Precinct jobs targeted by 2040
Route 18Lara Station–Avalon bus, from March 2026

Getting there used to be a problem. In 2025 the ABC reported workers quitting jobs at the precinct because there was no public transport. Since 15 March 2026, bus route 18 has run seven days a week from Lara Station to the airport, with timetables aligned to staff shifts. It’s the first public bus linking Avalon to the rail network, and it runs from Lara.

How we treat an airport

We don’t treat an airport as a reason to expect prices to rise. We look at the employment and infrastructure ecosystem that develops around major transport assets, and who might want to live nearby as a result.

Transport

Lara’s Transport Advantage

Transport is one of Lara’s strongest fundamentals. The town is served by Lara railway station with V/Line services on the Geelong line, the Princes Freeway, and road connections into Geelong and towards Melbourne. Recent Geelong line upgrades added 68 extra weekend services, with trains every 20 minutes on weekends.

That matters for households who don’t work in Lara itself. Lara can function as a residential base for people working across a much wider area.

Existing infrastructure

  • Lara Station and V/Line services
  • Princes Freeway
  • Route 18 bus to Avalon
  • Something residents can use today

Proposed infrastructure

  • Lines on a planning document
  • Timing and funding uncertain
  • Often years away
  • Given less weight in our assessment

Unlike some new growth corridors where transport is still being planned, Lara already has an operating regional rail connection. We place considerably more weight on infrastructure residents can actually use today.

Amenity

Town Centre, Schools and Lifestyle

An established town centre

Lara has an established town centre, and planning policy seeks to keep the commercial role of the Patullos Road shopping strip while allowing future development within the town centre framework. Residents already have supermarkets, shops, cafes, restaurants, medical services, schools, and community and sporting facilities. That’s amenity many newly created estates don’t have, and it supports both owner-occupier and rental demand.

Education and family demand

Lara’s schools include Lara Primary School, Lara Lake Primary School, St Anthony’s School and Lara Secondary College, alongside parks, recreation areas and community facilities. Family-oriented locations matter to investors because the tenant pool extends well beyond young professionals and commuters.

The You Yangs and lifestyle appeal

Lara also offers something purely urban growth corridors often don’t. The You Yangs Regional Park rises just north of town, and planning seeks to retain Lara’s rural landscape setting and views to the ranges.

Transport connectivity + established services + employment access + open space.

That combination is valuable when considering long-term owner-occupier appeal.

Prices and rents

The Lara Property Market Today

The REIV’s latest data for Lara gives a useful snapshot:

LaraMedian priceMedian rentYield
Houses$740,000$580 pw4.1%
Units$478,000$480 pw5.1%
Regional Victoria houses$667,000——

Houses sit above the regional Victorian median, reflecting Lara’s position in the Geelong–Melbourne corridor, and there is a substantial gap between house and unit entry prices. Homes are selling in around 33 days.

The median isn’t “the price of a Lara property”

A three-bedroom house has a median of about $652,000 and a four-bedroom about $765,000. Beyond bedrooms, prices vary widely with land size, location, age and condition. Lara contains older homes on larger blocks, maturing newer estates, current growth areas and future development land, and each has different investment characteristics.

Established Lara

  • Larger blocks and established streets
  • Greater scarcity
  • Land value underpinning price
  • Mature amenity

Newer development

  • Depreciation benefits
  • Lower early maintenance
  • Modern, energy-efficient layouts
  • But more competing supply
The pipeline

Lara’s Future Housing Supply

Lara has a meaningful housing pipeline. Forecasters assume around 3,400 dwellings on major sites plus about 1,200 infill dwellings between 2022 and 2046. The main growth areas are at different stages:

AreaStatus
Lara West Precinct Structure Plan, bounded by Bacchus Marsh, Patullos, Windermere and O’Hallorans RoadsApproved 2014, developing in stages
Manzeene Village, between Patullos, O’Hallorans and Kees RoadsDevelopment plan building out
Lara South East (Amendment C444), near Canterbury Road East and the Princes HighwayAwaiting approval sent to the Minister September 2026

The South East proposal, as originally exhibited, covered about 114 hectares with around 600 homes plus industrial and business land. Parts of Lara West, including the West Gateway and Patullos Road areas, also need further masterplanning for staging, infrastructure, stormwater and environmental issues before they can proceed.

Planning capacity isn’t supply today

We don’t treat every lot on a long-term structure plan as immediately developable. But a pipeline this size tells investors something important: Lara will keep adding homes.

Supply is both an opportunity and a risk

Population growth creates demand. Housing development creates supply. If thousands of similar properties can be built around your investment, it isn’t necessarily scarce, and that can affect rental competition, resale competition, rental growth, capital growth and buyer demand.

So we ask: what makes this particular property difficult to replace?

Due diligence

Lara Flood Risk

There is another issue that deserves specific attention. Lara is vulnerable to both stormwater and riverine flooding: its flat terrain causes widespread shallow flooding, and Hovells Creek runs through the town. Significant floods were recorded in 1983, 1995, 2005 and 2010, among others.

Council’s response, based on the Lara Flood Study 2020, includes updated flood overlays, a Hovells Creek catchment strategy and two proposed drainage projects: a Lipson Drive pipe and open drain, and Kyema Drive pumps and rising mains. Both are proposals, and Council may seek contributions from benefiting landowners.

This is exactly the kind of issue that should be assessed property by property:

  • Flood overlays and planning controls
  • Drainage and site levels
  • Flooding history of the street
  • Insurance availability and cost
  • Surrounding development

A good location doesn’t eliminate property-specific risk.

Position

Lara’s Biggest Investment Strength

We believe Lara’s biggest strength is its position at the intersection of several economic and transport systems.

Melbourne

Access to Melbourne and the western metropolitan economy.

Geelong

Access to one of Victoria’s major regional economies.

GREP

A major industrial and employment precinct next door.

Avalon

Airport and aviation-related economic activity.

GeelongPort

Major freight and trade infrastructure.

Transport

Rail, freeway and a new airport bus link.

Housing

Established streets plus future residential development.

Lifestyle

Township character with the You Yangs on the doorstep.

Our view

More economic depth than Lara’s population size suggests.

But Lara isn’t for every investor

An investor chasing maximum rental yield, high-density apartment exposure, strong land scarcity, an inner-city lifestyle or a very low entry price may be looking for something different. For an investor seeking affordability, population growth, employment access, transport, established amenity and future development together, Lara deserves consideration.

Our criteria

What Makes an Investment-Grade Lara Property?

Strong location

Close to transport, schools, shops and employment.

Genuine land value

Price supported by the land, not just the building.

Broad tenant appeal

Suits families and working households.

Owner-occupier appeal

Somewhere people would genuinely want to live.

Limited competition

Avoiding estates releasing large volumes of near-identical homes.

Quality construction

Particularly relevant for newer properties.

Sensible price

Supported by comparable sales.

Manageable supply

Knowing what is likely to be built nearby.

Flood and planning checks

Especially important in Lara.

Context

Lara and the Broader Geelong Market

Lara shouldn’t be seen as an alternative to Geelong. It is part of the Geelong economy, but offers a different type of market: lower-density housing, regional rail, closer proximity to Melbourne and Avalon, access to northern Geelong employment, a township environment and future development potential. That makes it a complementary part of the wider Geelong investment story.

The Geelong market has momentum. In January 2026, Hotspotting reported a 29% rise in Geelong sales activity over 12 months, with more than 75% of Geelong suburbs ranked positively. Terry Ryder called Geelong “a real standout” among regional markets.

How we use research like this

Hotspotting’s method puts weight on sales activity and the local economy rather than past price growth. That fits the way we assess Lara. We don’t want to buy because somebody calls it a hotspot. We want to understand what is driving demand.

Our approach

We Don’t Believe in Buying a Suburb

We don’t start with “which suburb is going to boom?” We start with the investor.

The right way

  • Investor → Strategy → Location → Property

Not

  • Property → Suburb → Hope

Your investment objectives, budget, borrowing capacity, cash-flow needs, existing portfolio, timeframe and risk tolerance should decide what type of property you consider. Only then do we decide whether Lara belongs on the shortlist. Read more about setting the purpose of your investment.

Bottom line

Lara Property Investment: The Bottom Line

Lara has developed into much more than a residential suburb between Melbourne and Geelong. It sits within a significant economic corridor supported by:

  • Geelong’s expanding economy
  • The Geelong Ring Road Employment Precinct
  • Avalon Airport and its new bus link
  • GeelongPort
  • Regional rail and the Princes Freeway
  • Established schools and services
  • Continued population growth
  • Future residential development

The market is established too, with a median house price around $740,000, median house rent around $580 a week and a gross yield of about 4.1%.

The other side

Lara’s future housing supply and flood history mean investors need to be selective. The opportunity isn’t “buy Lara”. It’s identify the right property within Lara, one that makes sense for you and your broader strategy.

Looking at investment property in Lara?

We Look at the Investor First

Then the strategy, the location and the property. Talk to Investment Property Melbourne, powered by properT network, about whether Lara fits your investment strategy.

Related resources

Geelong Property Investment and Armstrong Creek & Mount Duneed
Greater Geelong’s wider market and its southern growth area.

Time to Invest in Geelong and Lara
Our earlier look at Lara’s demographics, vacancy and yields.

Melbourne Investment Property and Property Investment Locations
Our wider Melbourne and Victorian research.

Research & resources

Lara Property Investment Resources

General information only. Investment Property Melbourne and properT network do not provide personal financial, legal, tax or lending advice. Figures are from the sources and periods stated and may change. Planned projects and rezonings may change or be delayed. Property investment carries risk, including the risk of loss. Seek independent professional advice before making any decision.

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